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Regulatory Remediation: Developing Forward-Looking Risk Indicators

Regulatory Remediation: Developing Forward-Looking Risk Indicators

A large U.S. bank engaged us to support a regulatory remediation effort following a credit risk oversight citation. Together, we developed forward-looking risk indicators, enhanced data integrity processes, and built dashboards and governance models to strengthen credit risk monitoring.

Challenge

Following a regulatory examination, our large banking client received a Matters Requiring Immediate Attention (MRIA) citation highlighting deficiencies in its enterprise-wide credit risk monitoring and reporting practices. Specifically, regulators identified that the credit risk framework was overly reliant on backward-looking data and lacked sufficient forward-looking indicators. To address the citation, management needed to enhance the monitoring framework to incorporate predictive metrics, establish proposed thresholds and define clear action plans for threshold breaches. The urgency and complexity of the remediation effort required a collaborative, expert-driven approach. 

Solution

We worked closely with the client to identify a comprehensive list of potential forward-looking metrics that could highlight significant exposures or volatility in the commercial asset portfolio. After conducting an initial data availability assessment, the team prioritized and refined the list down to six key indicators, each with preliminary thresholds based on historical trends and risk assessments. 

We supported the sourcing, construction and visualization of each indicator by analyzing legacy data across defined historical periods to set initial targets and triggers. Each metric was thoroughly documented, including monitoring approaches, known limitations and assumptions. In parallel, we developed draft dashboard designs and outlined escalation protocols to guide management’s response to threshold breaches. Throughout the process, we ensured that both technical and governance considerations were addressed to create a sustainable risk monitoring framework. 

Outcome

Our partnership enabled the client to meaningfully enhance its credit risk oversight practices with measurable improvements. We delivered full documentation for the newly developed indicators, including sourcing maps, production instructions, quality control guidelines and breach escalation protocols. As a result, the client was well-positioned to complete remediation efforts in a timely manner and demonstrate adherence to both the letter and spirit of regulatory expectations. 

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